The Genesis.

A story published on the nation Monday this week on thoughts of amending the constitution has sparked a conversation in Kenya. The story comes on the backdrop of Fafi Consituency Member of Parliament Fafi Salah noting that the two term limit should be scrapped in favor of using a age limit system. The MP went on further to state that some MPs allied to the Kenya Kwanza brigade are preparing a bill to table in parliament for approval.  The UDA party has however denied those claims.

Hypothetically speaking, if that was to happen then a lot has to change. This article analyses the facts behind the MP’s comments like the process is to be followed, who stands to benefit or lose and if it can be actualized. Let’s dive in.

What is the due process?

The proponents of this proposal must have learnt something from the failed Building Bridges Initiative. The process followed the due process from public participation to approval by the legislature. Until the matter was brought to the high court who questioned the origin of the initiative. They opined that a constitutional amendment bill has to be initiated by the public. The current proposal already violates that condition.

Who stands to benefit?

The obvious beneficiary of the suggestion is obviously President William Ruto. According to the proposal the age limit should be set at 75 years after which a person cannot vie for the presidency. Just being 55,he has a chance to contest for upto the 2037 elections. It is assumed that Azimio presidential candidate Raila Odinga has exited the scene, if that is not the case the he loses big time. The 77 year old will be 83 during the next general election which will automatically make him unqualified. Deputy president Rigathi Gachagua must have set his eyes on the 2032 race which will prove difficult.

Other hopeful future Presidential candidates like Kalonzo Musyoka and Musalia Mudavadi will have also suffered a blow to their ambitions.

The Stumbling block.

The implementation of the proposal will face a lot of backlash from Kenyans. Kenyans believe that the proposal will take the country back to the Moi era. The comparison alone will not fair well with the electorate who must vote in a referendum.

Kenya is just coming from a much contested presidential elections with low margins between the two candidates. It will be therefore very difficult to assume that the same people that voted for the president will vote for the bill.

It is also worth considering that there are a lot of politicians eyeing the presidency in the near future. This include a section of some of the loyalists of the president who will not be expected to side by the bill. The bill will as a result face resistance even from people within the ruling party.

What other politicians think.

The assertions have been discounted by politicians associated with the Azimio la Umoja group, who refer to them as “over ambitious.” .Rumors within the Azimio camp are pointing out that the Raila Odinga faction are also considering floating an amendment bill. Contradicting enough, the bill proposes a rotational presidency system.

 Bobi Wine, the presidential candidate in the general elections of Uganda in 2021, has urged Kenyans to exercise caution lest that plan come to pass.

It will be very difficult for the proposition to even pass through some stages. What shall occur is left to be seen.

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By Ansias

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